Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. In contrast, Kahele had stronger numbers among the younger group. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Polls close in Hawaii, and initial results could be reported soon. Nate Cohn Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. Why does Hawaii hold primary elections on Saturdays? , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. A voter dropped off a ballot in Honolulu in 2020. As of Aug. 10, 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to the Office of Elections. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. Alicia Parlapiano Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. Vicky Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Theres still a long way to go before the Aug. 13 primary and even longer to the Nov. 8 general election and anything could happen. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. SEARCH. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. It is his to lose, Moore said. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. But the main focus of the Democratic primary was housing. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. 99% Est. Read more. [6] The deadline to register to vote is 30 days before an election. On the Republican side, Kona business consultant Paul Morgan raised $6,300 and reported $4,092 in cash on hand. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. North Carolina Senate. . Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. You're reading a premium story. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Exit Polls Hawaii Updated 4:40 PM EST, Tue November 8, 2022 Sen. Brian E. Schatz is running for reelection in Hawaii. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. Election. Governor: Hawaii CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing endorsement of abortion rights on midterm ballot initiatives across the US Why were the. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Democratic Primary The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Hawaii Lieutenant Governor Primary Election Results. How he presents himself in the campaign is important, but people already like him. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Governor Republican Primary. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. . Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Nate Cohn The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Milner, the political analyst, however, said quitting a political race is not part of Caldwells DNA. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Enjoy this free story! Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. Jill Tokuda, a former state senator backed by the political arm of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, won the Democratic primary in Hawaiis Second Congressional District, according to The Associated Press, after a sometimes vicious campaign that drew more than a million dollars in outside spending. The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. The choice mirrors an 1845 law that set federal elections on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November.. Activate your Digital Account now. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. . Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. David Ige. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. Mr. Green defeated six other Democrats, including Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. You deserve to hear our thinking. The Second Congressional District, which covers most of the state geographically, is electing a new member of Congress after Mr. Kahele decided to run for governor midway through his first term. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaiis next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii Poll shows. Lt. Gov. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. Follow along here These numbers are a good sign.. On the Republican side, 269 primary voters were polled, and the margin of error was plus or minus 6 percentage points. Thats according to the results of a new Honolulu Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now poll. , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Ben Cayetanos her husband and did great stuff for the state, and I think she would be great for the state, Shinyame said. All rights reserved. All in all, he did really well. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. Next. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Maggie Astor Maggie Astor Greens popularity is off the charts, and it has sustained throughout this (COVID-19) crisis, which could have hurt him.. Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. Lt. Gov. State of Hawaii. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. GOP Rep. David Rouzer is coasting to reelection. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. , Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. According to a new Civil. Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. Gov. Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022 When polls close Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. To register to vote in Hawaii, one must be a United States citizen, a resident of the state, and at least 18 years old. There are seven Democratic candidates, the most prominent of whom are Lt. Gov. Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Maggie Astor Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. David Ige, who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Read more Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.. Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. Incumbent David Ige defeated Andria Tupola, Jim Brewer, and Terrence Teruya in the general election for Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018. Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. Alicia Parlapiano Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Lt. Gov. 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